But the presumptive Republican nominee has built his campaign on defying the expectations of the political class.
And the latest evidence is a shocking new poll of Trump’s support with Latino voters.
In 2012, Mitt Romney won 27% of the Hispanic vote, and establishment Republicans spent the next three years telling anyone who would listen, that granting amnesty to illegal aliens was the key to making inroads with the Latino base.
Pundits, Democrats and some establishment Republicans claimed Trump’s strong stand to secure the Southern border would repel Hispanic voters.
But a new NBC News/SurveyMonkey Poll showed Trump winning 32% of the Hispanic vote, a full 5-point increase from Romney’s 2012 vote share.
A video put together by a Hispanic supporter of Donald Trump gives some insight as to why Trump could over-perform with Latino voters.