All Tied Up: Trump 42, Hillary 42 in NYT/CBS Poll  Guy Benson Posted: Sep 15, 2016

 

In July, this polling series had Hillary Clinton ahead by seven points nationwide among registered voters. Here we are two months later and it's dead even. What changed? Well, as we noted earlier, Hillary has been tanking for weeks, but the Times and CBS News applied a likely voter screen to their numbers for the first time this cycle. Those two factors combine to pull this election into an exact dead heat nationwide. In case you're curious, this survey was in the field from September 9 to 13, so only about half of respondents' data was collected after Mrs. Clinton's medical incident, and subsequent opacity and spin. Note the partisan sample split I calculated based on the pollster's statistics:

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